Figures

Richard Wiseman

RIH-churd WYZ-mun
The psychologist, and former professional magician, who ran the first large-scale science of luck and found the lucky and the unlucky are literally looking at different worlds.
Documented

The documented experiments

Documented: Wiseman's Luck Project at Hertfordshire, published as The Luck Factor (2003), recruited 400 self-identified lucky and unlucky participants. The newspaper experiment placed the 43-photographs announcement on page two and a win-250-dollars announcement midway; lucky participants spotted them, most unlucky participants did not. Personality data showed the lucky higher in extroversion and openness, half as neurotic; the four principles, maximizing chance opportunities, listening to intuition, positive expectations, resilient reframing, were then taught in luck school with reported improvement.

Assessment: The experiments and the book are documented. The field's critique is documented too: self-selected lucky people differ in temperament, and whether training manufactures luck or just optimism is not fully separated.
Stories

The magician's angle

The folk note: Wiseman started as a stage magician, and the luck work is misdirection run backward, the unlucky person at the newspaper is the audience watching the wrong hand. His documented point about routines, the lucky vary their route to work, is the anti-magic: scramble the pattern and the world starts showing you its other pages.

Assessment: The magic background is documented and methodologically relevant: his entire research program is attention science with the top hat removed.
Interesting claims

The noticing organ

The claim: luck training is filter training, the unlucky brain runs the reducing valve at full tightness, the lucky brain loosens the aperture and the world's anomalies, opportunities, and synchronicities, being always on, get through. The trap wing reads unluck as the valve's desired setting.

Assessment: The attention mechanism is documented psychology. The valve mapping is the archive's cross-link. What the loosened aperture lets in, Wiseman's data says opportunity; the eso tier says more than that.
Sources and further reading
  1. Wiseman, The Luck Factor, 2003
  2. The Luck Project, University of Hertfordshire
  3. The newspaper photograph experiment
  4. The four principles and the luck school follow-ups
Worth asking

If luck is a perceptual skill, who is doing the seeing, and what else are the rest of us counting past?

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GR8YFILES · competing origin stories, labeled by the strength of their evidence · readers 14+